World politics
www.nytimes.comWill Lebanon Deal Break Gaza Deadlock? Experts Doubt It
President Biden's optimism about a diplomatic breakthrough in Gaza is challenged by complex realities: Hamas's leverage with hostages and Netanyahu's political constraints complicate negotiations.
The truce in Lebanon was achievable partly because Hezbollah's weakened position and Netanyahu's less-pressure scenario allowed for a compromise that is not replicated in Gaza.
Analysts like Aaron David Miller emphasize that the dynamics in Gaza significantly differ from those in Lebanon, making a successful deal much more challenging.
Netanyahu faces intense political pressure from far-right allies who threaten his coalition if he compromises with Hamas, contrasting the conditions that led to the Lebanon cease-fire.