""There is a clear possibility that we will hit a wall, that there's some difficulty that we don't foresee right now, and we don't find any solution quickly," Yoshua Bengio, one of the "godfathers" of AI, told The Guardian. "And that could be a real [financial] crash," he added. "A lot of the people who are putting trillions right now into AI are also expecting the advances to continue fairly regularly at the current pace.""
""AI finding some niche uses in some industries is not the premise that has raked in trillions of dollars in investment; instead, the end game is creating a so-called artificial general intelligence, or AGI, a hypothetical AI system that matches or surpasses human cognition. David Cahn at the powerful Silicon Valley investment firm Sequoia Capital said as much in an October blog post quoted by The Guardian: "Nothing short of AGI will be enough to justify the investments now being proposed for the coming decade.""
Experts warn of a clear possibility of encountering an unforeseen technical barrier that halts progress and causes a rapid slowdown. Yoshua Bengio warns such a barrier could trigger a real financial crash, noting major investors expect steady, regular advances. The industry has attracted trillions by pursuing an endgame framed as artificial general intelligence (AGI), a vaguely defined goal debated across the field. Some investors assert that only AGI can justify current capital commitments. Prominent leaders are beginning to distance themselves from the AGI label. Disappointing model launches and marginal benchmark gains have rekindled fears of an AI winter.
Read at Futurism
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