If AI is roiling the job market, the data isn't showing it, Yale Budget Lab report says, raising questions of 'AI-washing' to justify mass layoffs | Fortune
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If AI is roiling the job market, the data isn't showing it, Yale Budget Lab report says, raising questions of 'AI-washing' to justify mass layoffs | Fortune
"Anxieties about AI putting people out of jobs is bubbling over: A Reuters/Ipsos poll from August 2025 found 71% of Americans feared permanent job loss as a result of AI. Last week, Amazon announced 16,000 roles across the company would be slashed, adding to a total of more than 30,000 job cuts since October 2025. The move coincided with Amazon's push toward AI development, though the tech giant attributed the reductions to an attempt to slash bureaucracy, not the technology."
"While there have been changes in occupational mix since the 2022 release of ChatGPT, the rate of change has not increased enough to signal a massive shift, the report said. In addition, the length of unemployment for individuals with jobs that have high exposure to AI remained the same over time. Both metrics signaled no evidence of a massive labor disruption, from AI or another factor."
An August 2025 Reuters/Ipsos poll found 71% of Americans feared permanent job loss from AI. Amazon cut 16,000 roles last week, totaling over 30,000 since October 2025, coinciding with its AI push while the company cited bureaucracy reduction. Yale Budget Lab analysis finds AI’s labor-market effects remain largely speculative and reflect stability rather than economy-wide disruption. Occupational mix has shifted since ChatGPT’s 2022 release, but the rate of change has not accelerated enough to signal a massive shift. Length of unemployment for jobs with high AI exposure stayed unchanged. Both metrics show no evidence of a massive labor disruption.
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