Economists are realizing the job market is cooling. Workers have known it for months
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Economists are realizing the job market is cooling. Workers have known it for months
"Andy Challenger is the person businesses call when it's time to let workers go. And for the past year and a half, his phone hasn't stopped ringing. A third-generation outplacement consultant at Challenger, Gray & Christmas the firm his grandfather founded in the 1960s after his own layoff Challenger has heard a variety of reasons over the past few months for trimming headcount."
"As economic data continued to suggest a shockingly resilient labor market, his workload told a different story. Anyone who has watched a friend lose work, seen a Now Hiring sign quietly come down, scrolled through LinkedIn profiles marked #OpenToWork or worried about how far your own paycheck will stretch, knows what Challenger is talking about. Economic reports can tell one story; your reality often tells another."
"More than 2 in 5 workers (43 percent) didn't receive a pay increase at all over the past 12 months, the highest in four years and a sign of a slowing job market, according to Bankrate's new Pay Raise Survey. A rising share of Americans in the labor force (42 percent in 2025 from 36 percent in 2024) also say they aren't confident they'll find a better-paying job or get a pay raise at their current position over the next 12 months."
Andy Challenger has experienced a surge in outplacement work over the past year and a half as employers trim headcount. Firms cite pandemic-era overhiring, AI integration uncertainty, higher tariffs and a slowing economy as reasons for cuts. Official economic data showed resilient hiring and low unemployment, but many workers encountered a different reality at home. Forty-three percent of workers received no pay increase in the past 12 months, the highest in four years. Rising shares of workers report low confidence in finding better-paying jobs or receiving raises over the next 12 months.
Read at www.bankrate.com
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