The Golden State Valkyries (3-1) play the Indiana Fever (3-2) on May 22, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Valkyries are projected to cover a +7.5 spread. Indiana covered the spread 28 times in 52 games last season, while Golden State went 27-19-0 against the spread. When Indiana was favored by 7.5 or more, it went 5-7 against the spread, while Golden State as a 7.5-point underdog or more went 10-5. The over 168.5 is supported by combined scoring trends, with both teams averaging fewer points than the matchup total. The Fever’s moneyline implied win probability is 75.6%, while Golden State’s implied chance is 29.3%.
"The Fever beat the spread 28 times in 52 games last year. The Valkyries' record against the spread last season was 27-19-0. As 7.5-point favorites or greater, the Fever went 5-7 against the spread last season. As 7.5-point underdogs or more, the Valkyries went 10-5 against the spread last season."
"The Fever and their opponents combined to score more than 168.5 points in 23 of 52 games last season. The Valkyries played eight games last season that went over 168.5 combined points scored. These two teams averaged a combined 162.6 points per game last season, 5.9 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup. Opponents of these two teams combined to score 157.8 points per game last year, 10.7 fewer points than this matchup's over/under."
"The Fever were the moneyline favorite 27 total times last season. They finished 15-12 in those games. The Valkyries won 13, or 38.2%, of the 34 games they played as underdogs last season. When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -310 or shorter, the Fever had a 7-6 record (winning 53.8% of their games). Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Fever's implied win probability is 75.6%. The moneyline for this contest implies a 29.3% chance of a victory for the Valkyries."
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