Philadelphia opens a three-game series against Cincinnati at Citizens Bank Park with first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. Andrew Painter starts for the Phillies, showing swing-and-miss ability and velocity but inconsistent early-count fastball location. Cincinnati’s offense ranks near the bottom of the league with a .226 team average. Nick Lodolo starts for the Reds with a left-handed profile that shapes home-run prop value. Kyle Schwarber, a left-handed hitter, has elite barrel rate and exit velocity, but historically has less power against left-handed pitching. Bryce Harper, a right-handed hitter, has historically performed well against southpaws, making his home-run lines more compelling against Lodolo.
"His barrel rate of 26.2 percent and average exit velocity of 93.4 mph on Statcast are among the best marks in baseball, and his wOBA of .429 reflects a player operating at an elite offensive level. The left-on-left matchup against Lodolo is the variable to weigh carefully. Schwarber has historically hit for less power against left-handed pitching than right-handed pitching throughout his career."
Read at Bleacher Nation
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