"The Lightning have been a moneyline favorite 66 times this season, and have gone 40-26 in those games. When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -126 or shorter, Tampa Bay has gone 36-20, winning 64.3%."
"Boston has gone 21-24, a 46.7% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +105 or more by sportsbooks this season. The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of victory for the Bruins."
The Tampa Bay Lightning are -126 on the moneyline against the Boston Bruins, who are at +105. The Lightning have a 55.8% chance to win based on the moneyline's implied probability. They have won 40 of 66 games as a moneyline favorite this season. The Bruins have a 50% win rate as underdogs and a 46.7% win rate when set as underdogs of +105 or more. The prediction favors the Bruins to win and suggests betting on the over for total goals.
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