The Los Angeles Sparks face the Washington Mystics on Friday, May 29, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET after the Sparks’ 101-95 win over the Aces led by Kelsey Plum’s 38 points. Washington is projected to cover the spread at -2.5, with a 4-2 record against the spread this season and a 1-1 ATS mark as at least 2.5-point favorites. Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS overall. The over/under is set at 168.5, and combined scoring trends suggest the total is likely to exceed it, with both teams averaging 174.3 combined points per game. Washington is also favored on the moneyline at -141, implying a 58.5% win probability.
"The Mystics have covered the spread four times this season (4-2-0). The Sparks have gone 2-4-0 against the spread this year. The Mystics are 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites. The Sparks are a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs."
"Mystics games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 168.5 points three times. Sparks games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 168.5 points in five of six outings. These two teams score 174.3 points per game combined, 5.8 more than this game's point total. These teams surrender 182.3 points per game combined, 13.8 more points than this matchup's over/under."
"The Mystics have been listed as the moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and they split the two games. This season, the Sparks have been the underdog four times and won two of those games. The Mystics have played as a moneyline favorite of -141 or shorter in just two games this season, which they split 1-1. The Sparks have entered two games this season as the underdog by +115 or more and won each of those games."
Read at Bleacher Nation
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