"Bitcoin ( ) ETFs now hold more than 1.3 million coins, representing roughly 6% of all mined BTC. This institutional demand has taken supply off exchanges, and investors are asking what happens if another million coins get locked in ETFs. A further 5% reduction in circulating supply echoes past halving events-when cutting block rewards in half sparked triple-digit percentage returns. With AI-driven models, analysts can run thousands of simulations to estimate price trajectories under the Bitcoin ETF scenario."
"By the end of 2025, those ETFs held more than 1.31 million BTC , representing approximately 6% of all coins in circulation. The lion's share sits in BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust, which alone has amassed about 777,000 BTC-around 4% of total supply. Grayscale's converted spot trust still holds substantial positions, while ARK 21Shares controls tens of thousands of BTC. Institutional investors collectively own almost a third of all mined Bitcoin, and the ETF model makes that stake more transparent."
Bitcoin ETFs currently hold roughly 1.31 million BTC, removing significant supply from exchanges and representing about 6% of circulated coins. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust holds about 777,000 BTC, while Grayscale and ARK 21Shares retain substantial positions. Institutional investors own nearly a third of mined Bitcoin, with ETF structures increasing transparency. Analysts note that locking an additional million BTC in ETFs would require net inflows to roughly double, but international ETF rollouts and large institutional allocations could plausibly provide that capital. Machine learning simulations commonly project price levels near $150,000, with upside scenarios approaching $250,000 if liquidity tightens.
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