Arthur Hayes forecasts bitcoin reaching $125,000 by December 2026, linking the move to returning global liquidity, possible Federal Reserve policy shifts, and AI-driven capital dynamics. He expects a retest of the prior all-time high just above $126,000 and suggests a breakout past $90,000 could occur quickly when conditions align. Michael Saylor projects about 30% annual appreciation over the next 20 years, with near-term gains before year-end 2026, and has cited $1 million per coin by the end of the decade and $10 million in extreme scenarios. Peter Brandt warns of a potential $40,000 to $60,000 investable low in September or October 2026, followed by a major cycle peak between $250,000 and $500,000 by late 2029 if halving patterns hold. Institutional research desks cluster around more moderate near-term ranges, including ETF flow and institutional adoption-driven targets.
"Hayes tied his outlook to returning global liquidity, potential Federal Reserve policy shifts, and artificial intelligence (AI)-driven capital dynamics. He described a retest of bitcoin's prior all-time high just above $126,000 as likely, and remarked that a breakout past $90,000 could happen quickly once conditions align."
"Speaking on CNBC on May 21, Saylor projected bitcoin would appreciate roughly 30% annually over the next 20 years, with near-term appreciation expected before year-end 2026. He has repeatedly pointed to $1 million per coin by the end of the decade, and in more extreme long-term scenarios, has referenced $10 million as bitcoin's true potential value as a global digital collateral asset."
"In an April 27 social media post, Brandt wrote that those predicting $250,000 in 2026 needed to reconsider. His own cycle analysis points to an investable low forming in September or October 2026, potentially in the $40,000 to $60,000 range, followed by a major cycle peak between $250,000 and $500,000 by late 2029, contingent on four-year halving patterns holding."
"Bernstein analysts set a $150K$200K end-2026 target, pointing to exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows and institutional adoption. Institutional research desks have clustered around a more moderate near-term range."
Read at news.bitcoin.com
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