"Approximate Value was developed by Doug Drinen at Pro-Football-Reference.com and is designed to assign a specific value to any player at any position for any given year. The algorithm behind AV weights position-specific metrics (i.e. yards or points scored/allowed) with an indicator for durability (total games played and seasons as their team's primary starter) and quality (Pro Bowl and All Pro nominations) and then normalizes all this at a team level."
"Essentially, AV is a substitute for --- and a significant improvement upon, in my opinion --- metrics like 'number of seasons as a starter' or 'number of times making the Pro Bowl' or the like. You should think of it as being essentially like those two metrics, but with interpolation in between."
"AV is not meant to be a be-all end-all metric. Football stat lines just do not come close to capturing all the contributions of a player the way they do in baseball and basketball. If one player is a 16 and another is a 14, we can't be very confident that the 16AV player actually had a better season than the 14AV player."
Approximate Value (AV) is a metric developed by Doug Drinen at Pro-Football-Reference.com that quantifies player performance across all positions and seasons. The algorithm combines position-specific metrics like yards and points with durability indicators including games played and seasons as primary starter, plus quality measures such as Pro Bowl and All-Pro selections. These components are normalized at the team level to create comparable values. AV serves as an improvement over traditional measures like starter seasons or Pro Bowl appearances by providing interpolated values between these benchmarks. However, the metric has acknowledged limitations, as football statistics cannot capture all player contributions comprehensively.
#approximate-value #player-evaluation-metrics #nfl-statistics #performance-measurement #draft-analysis
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