"Out of 32 picks: Not one of the draft experts cracked 20 percent. I don't see this as a failure, that is just the nature of the beast. One grade can shift multiple picks and wreck slot projections. Jeremiah led here, but the margin was two picks."
"Daniel Jeremiah - 23 correct players (72%), Mel Kiper Jr. - 21 correct players (66%), Todd McShay - 20 correct players (63%). This metric measures evaluation, not guesswork. Teams move, tiers usually don't. Jeremiah showed the strongest overall read on how the league valued this class."
"Daniel Jeremiah - 8-10 correct Top-10 players (80%), Mel Kiper Jr. - 7 of 10 (70%), Todd McShay - 6-10 (60%). This is where I found the separation showed up most clearly. Jeremiah consistently identified the elite tier and that matters when projecting quarterbacks."
Three top NFL Draft experts were evaluated on their 2025 first-round predictions using three metrics: exact pick accuracy, correct players projected in Round 1, and top-10 tier accuracy. No expert achieved 20 percent exact pick accuracy, reflecting the inherent difficulty of slot projections. Daniel Jeremiah led with 23 correct Round 1 players (72%), followed by Mel Kiper Jr. with 21 (66%) and Todd McShay with 20 (63%). In top-10 accuracy, Jeremiah identified 8-10 elite players (80%), Kiper identified 7 (70%), and McShay identified 6 (60%). Jeremiah demonstrated the strongest overall evaluation of player value and league preferences, while maintaining competitive performance across all categories.
#nfl-draft-analysis #expert-accuracy-comparison #draft-predictions #player-evaluation #draft-expertise
Read at Inside The Star
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