
"As far as the tie as a whole goes, the Opta supercomputer is siding firmly with Forest - they are assigned a 99% chance of progressing, compared to Fenerbahce's 1%. And Forest are also backed when it comes to the second leg. Across 10,000 pre-match simulations, Forest won 58.2%, compared to Fener's 20.1%. The chances of a draw are rated at 21.7%."
"Fener have now lost seven of their last 10 games against English teams, winning just one of those. Fener have also won just one of 10 away European matches (including qualifiers) in England (two draws, seven defeats), winning 1-0 at Manchester United in October 1996 in the Champions League."
Nottingham Forest appointed Vitor Pereira as their fourth permanent head coach this season, a decision that raised concerns given his role in Wolves' poor Premier League campaign. However, Pereira's tenure began successfully with a dominant 3-0 victory over Fenerbahce in Istanbul, putting Forest firmly in control of their Europa League play-off tie. Despite losing 1-0 to Liverpool in the Premier League, Forest remains well-positioned for the second leg at home. Opta data assigns Forest a 99% chance of progressing, with simulations across 10,000 pre-match scenarios showing Forest winning 58.2% of the time. Fenerbahce face an uphill battle, having won just one of their last 10 games against English teams and only one of 10 away European matches in England since 1996.
Read at Soccer News
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