Hurricane Priscilla eyes six US states in its 'cone of uncertainty'

"Hurricane Priscilla's path through the Pacific has shifted, and forecasters warn that several southwestern states could see storms and floods within hours. The National Hurricane Center uses a 'cone of uncertainty' to show the likely path of a hurricane like Priscilla on maps, with the cone widening to cover areas where the storm might go over the next three to five days."

"Their latest cone revealed that the Category 2 storm's path is expected to shift north, turning Priscilla towards land on Thursday. Spaghetti models revealed that Priscilla will likely barrel over Mexico and reach as far inland as Southern California and Arizona before it begins to break up. Several other states in the Southwest, including New Mexico, Colorado, Utah, and Nevada, have been warned to expect thunderstorms and flash floods due to the moisture being pulled inland from Priscilla starting tomorrow and lasting through Sunday."

"Parts of Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, and Utah could see up to four inches of rain between Thursday afternoon and Saturday night. AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva noted that Priscilla's impact on Arizona could be particularly severe on Thursday night, with heavy rain and flooding forecasted throughout the state. The intense downpours could end up doubling the 1.5 inches of rainfall places like Flagstaff, Arizona, typically get during an average October."

"Meteorologists added that another tropical system is likely to form right behind Priscilla, potentially creating even more dangerous weather along the West Coast that extends into next week. National Hurricane Center forecasters said there is an 80 percent chance of a tropical wave currently near the southern tip of Mexico becoming the next Pacific storm, named Raymond. The AccuWeather team explained that a dip in the natural jet stream, which flows over the US, has been pulling Priscilla in a northeastern direction,"

Hurricane Priscilla has shifted north and is forecast to turn toward land, with the National Hurricane Center's cone of uncertainty widening over three to five days. Spaghetti models indicate Priscilla may cross Mexico and push moisture as far inland as Southern California and Arizona before breaking up. Southwestern states including Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Utah, and Nevada face thunderstorms and flash floods from Thursday through Sunday, with some areas expecting up to four inches of rain. AccuWeather warns of particularly severe impacts in Arizona Thursday night, with downpours potentially doubling October averages in places like Flagstaff. Another tropical system has a high chance of forming behind Priscilla.

Read at Mail Online