"The matchup rankings provide a schedule independent method to evaluate positional matchups each week, ranking all 32 opposing defenses in order of most to least favorable for opposing players at all four skill positions (quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end). Instead of relying upon seasonal totals, we calibrate points allowed data to show how each defense fared relative to the difficulty of the schedule it has faced. This provides a fairer approach to judging the quality of individual matchups."
"Adjusted fantasy points allowed (Adj. FPA) reflects how far above or below players' weekly PPR fantasy point averages that defenses held opponents at that position. A positive number means that the matchup is favorable. A negative number means it is unfavorable. Additionally, remember that teams often use multiple running backs and wide receivers in a game, and these plus/minus averages cover all of a team's personnel at that position."
Matchup rankings offer a schedule-independent way to evaluate weekly positional matchups by ranking all 32 opposing defenses for quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end. Points-allowed data are calibrated to account for the difficulty of opponents faced, producing a fairer assessment of matchup quality. Through Week 4 only 2025 data are used; after six weeks a rolling window of the most recent five weeks will inform rankings. Adjusted fantasy points allowed (Adj. FPA) shows how far defenses held opponents above or below their weekly PPR averages, with positive values indicating favorable matchups and negative values indicating unfavorable ones. Matchups are one factor among many in start/sit decisions.
Read at ESPN.com
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