"Week 8 of the 2025 NFL season was a historic one for betting favorites, as they went 11-2 against the spread to tie the best ATS mark for favorites in any one week since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger. In Week 9, the underdogs got their revenge in a big way. First, the Carolina Panthers went to Wisconsin and stunned the Green Bay Packers with a 16-13 victory on a last-second field goal. The Panthers came into the contest as 13.5-point underdogs, per ESPN BET lines, making their outright win the largest for an underdog this season and the largest in the NFL since 2023. It also served as the second-largest upset win in franchise history and the largest since 2000."
"While the Packers did attract nearly three-quarters of the spread handle for Sunday's contest at ESPN BET, Green Bay -13.5 wasn't an overly popular play across the entire slate. The book says that it was only the ninth-most popular bet by total handle across all of its spread offerings. By contrast, Detroit Lions -9.5 was the most popular play in the Sunday early slate, and garnered over 86% of the tickets at both ESPN BET and BetMGM. That would prove disastrous for the betting public."
Betting favorites dominated Week 8, going 11-2 against the spread to tie the best ATS week since the 1970 merger. Week 9 delivered major underdog upsets, led by the Carolina Panthers' 16-13 last-second win over the Green Bay Packers as 13.5-point underdogs, the largest outright underdog win this season and the biggest NFL upset since 2023. Carolina is 6-3 ATS and has won five games outright while being an underdog all season. Green Bay suffered one of its largest upset losses, even as it attracted much of the spread handle. Heavy public backing of Detroit -9.5 backfired when the Vikings won 27-24.
Read at ESPN.com
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