"Value is value, no matter where -- or how -- you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space -- finding value. Ben Solak and Seth Walder bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges. Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets."
"These weekly picks will not be limited to a certain bet type. From spreads and money lines to totals or even defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere. Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each bet recommended. As always, odds are all from ESPN BET. With that, let's dive into the 2025 NFL betting season."
"But the Cardinals match up wonderfully against the Saints. Second-year quarterback Spencer Rattler started six games for the Saints last season and struggled to string together positive plays. His dropback success rate of 36.5% was third worst in the NFL, as was his first down plus-touchdown rate (26.2%). That is significant against a Cardinals defense that plays in deep zones and challenges the passing game to work downfield slowly and methodically."
Ben Solak uses player evaluation and X's and O's while Seth Walder uses statistical models to identify plus-expected value bets. Weekly picks can include spreads, money lines, totals, and defensive player props, with recommended flat one-unit wagers tracked throughout the season and all odds from ESPN BET. Betting big favorites in Week 1 has been problematic: 48 favorites of at least six points in opening weeks over the past decade covered only 39% of the time. The Cardinals match up well against New Orleans, and Spencer Rattler's low success rates make the matchup unfavorable for the Saints.
Read at ESPN.com
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]