Patriots' fatal weakness now looms large heading into the Wild Card
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Patriots' fatal weakness now looms large heading into the Wild Card
"New England allowed four 100+ yard rushers in their last six weeks of the season, all of which averaged 4.9 YPC or more. Two averaged north of 7.0 yards per carry en route to the century mark. Robert Spillane's absence has hit the Patriots hard, as he missed three of those games. No team has had a 100-yard rusher while Milton Williams has played this year."
"The Patriots have four players (min. 125 run defense snaps) with a run defense missed tackle rate worse than 12.5%, something that must be remedied. Edge defenders K'Lavon Chaisson and Anfernee Jennings are each north of 20%, while slot corner Marcus Jones and linebacker Christian Elliss hover around 15%. Against Miami, the defense missed 7 tackles in the run game. They missed 6 the week before and 9 against Baltimore, a stark contrast to their mostly clean pre-bye tackling."
New England began the season as one of the decade's best run defenses but surrendered four 100+ yard rushers in its final six games, all averaging at least 4.9 YPC and two exceeding 7.0 YPC. Robert Spillane missed three of those games, weakening the unit. No opponent has rushed for 100+ yards when Milton Williams has played; both Williams and Spillane are expected to play against the Chargers. The defense shows a tackling downturn: four players (min. 125 run-defense snaps) have missed-tackle rates above 12.5%—Chaisson and Jennings north of 20%, Marcus Jones and Christian Elliss around 15%. Missed tackle totals were 7, 6 and 9 in recent games.
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