"Who will score a touchdown this week? Whether you intend to make an anytime TD bet, are setting a DFS lineup or simply enjoy peering into a crystal ball, I have a prediction for you. Every week, we generate fantasy football projections for every game on the slate, and that includes the probability that a player will take the ball into the end zone."
"*Implied odds converts the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay into a money line. Look for implied odds that are higher than the money line offered. For example if the implied odds are -150 and the money line is -110, then Clay's projection system indicates an advantage for the bettor. If the implied odds are +110 but the line offered is -110, the projection system sees a disadvantage to be avoided."
Weekly fantasy projections provide touchdown probabilities for every game and rank the top 25 players most likely to score in Week 5. Each player's projected probability is converted into implied odds representing an equivalent money line. The implied odds are compared with ESPN BET's anytime-touchdown money lines to identify potential betting edges when implied odds are more favorable than market lines. The dataset includes the top 25 predicted scorers with implied odds and the contemporaneous ESPN BET lines. Bettors and DFS users are advised to compare implied odds with offered lines and use ESPN BET for the latest player-prop prices.
Read at ESPN.com
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