"The whole article is worth the read but to boil it down to the simple point projection, the most likely out come after thousands of season simulations is that the Maple Leafs will finish the year with 89 points. Within the prediction, that is tied with the Florida Panthers but because of some other potential factors, the Panthers are in that final playoff spot, and the Leafs are on the other side."
"It's not even the fact that the Leafs are predicted to miss the playoffs. It's that the Buffalo Sabres of all teams finish with 91 points. While we can't really argue with someone's statistical model without looking a little silly, just the thought of the Sabres of all teams finishing above the Maple Leafs and being in the playoffs is infuriating. The Maple Leafs' nine-year streak of playoffs comes to an end and the Sabres make the playoffs for the first time since 2011."
Thousands of simulated 82-game seasons predict the Toronto Maple Leafs will finish the 2025-26 regular season with 89 points, tied with the Florida Panthers but losing the final playoff spot on tiebreakers. The Buffalo Sabres are projected to finish with 91 points and qualify for the playoffs for the first time since 2011. The Ottawa Senators are projected at 100 points and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 107 points, winning the division and recording the fifth-best league record. The projection represents a collapse from the previous 108-point campaign and would end the Maple Leafs’ nine-year playoff streak.
Read at Editor In Leaf
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