"From Wednesday morning through Thursday midday, the individual models are tightly clustered on storm timing and wind, with only moderate spread on snowfall totals."
"Snow levels generally sit near 6,000-7,000 feet early, then fall toward 5,000-6,000 feet overnight, so the Tahoe crest does best while lower Tahoe bases spend part of Wednesday closer to mixed or very dense snow."
"By the time the storm winds down, totals should land around 11-14 in near the northern Tahoe crest, 10-13 in at Palisades Tahoe and Kirkwood, and just 3-4 in at Mammoth."
"From Friday through Monday, the individual models converge strongly on a dry ridge, lighter winds, and a fast warming trend."
A storm from Wednesday to Thursday will deliver the most snow to the Tahoe crest, with strong winds and snow levels dropping to 5,000-6,000 feet. Snowfall totals are expected to be 11-14 inches near the northern Tahoe crest and 10-13 inches at Palisades Tahoe and Kirkwood. After the storm, a dry ridge will bring warmer temperatures and spring conditions, leading to firmer mornings and softer afternoons across the Sierra, with snow quality declining as temperatures rise.
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