"A cynic might point to the fact that the GSMA is a trade association representing the interests of mobile operators, so it's only natural for it to ask for as much spectrum as possible to be allocated to them. However, it claims that the report provides a comprehensive assessment of mid-band spectrum needs for mobile networks during the peak 6G era of 2035-2040, and is intended to support policymakers in developing their long-term spectrum roadmaps."
"The GSMA's analysis behind its report looks at a range of traffic demand scenarios out to 2040, covering existing mobile use cases such as video streaming, social media, and gaming, plus new and emerging 6G-era applications such as extended reality (XR) and autonomous vehicles. Mobile network capacity is expected to increase as operators utilize their existing spectrum more efficiently, but this is not enough to meet the estimated growth in demand, which leads to the GSMA's call for more spectrum to be made available."
GSMA says 6G networks will need up to three times the spectrum currently allocated to mobile operators to meet anticipated data demands. Cell networks in densely populated urban areas risk capacity constraints by 2030 if mid-band allocations remain unchanged. Commercial 6G deployments are expected around 2030, creating urgent need for additional spectrum to avoid slow, congested networks and lost economic opportunities. GSMA analysis models traffic scenarios through 2040, including video, social media, gaming, extended reality, and autonomous vehicles. Operators can improve efficiency on existing spectrum, but projected demand growth exceeds those gains, prompting calls for more mid-band spectrum availability.
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