"Labour's vote-share could fall to historic lows across elections for councils in England and devolved parliaments in Wales and Scotland on 7 May, with big gains for Reform, the Greens and nationalist parties, according to recent polling."
"Robert Hayward predicts that in Scotland, the SNP will be just short of a majority, while in Wales, Plaid is expected to be the largest party in terms of both votes and seats."
"There is much more interest in what Hayward and other psephologists are forecasting for the English local elections because they are hard to poll, contrasting with the abundant polling available for the Holyrood and Senedd elections."
Recent polling indicates Labour's vote-share could decline significantly in the upcoming elections for councils in England and devolved parliaments in Wales and Scotland. Predictions suggest that Reform, the Greens, and nationalist parties will see substantial gains. Robert Hayward forecasts that the SNP will fall just short of a majority in Scotland, while Plaid is expected to emerge as the largest party in Wales. The focus on English local elections is heightened due to the challenges in polling these races compared to the more predictable Holyrood and Senedd elections.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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