Analysis of about 900,000 journeys between 2014 and 2024 links long-term stay patterns to earnings levels. Migrants earning the lowest wages are most likely to remain in the UK long term. Evidence indicates migrants with the highest salaries, including those earning 125,000+, are more likely to leave. Higher-paid migrants may face fewer financial barriers and more global opportunities, reducing incentives to stay. The government plans to raise the baseline qualifying period for settled status from five years to 10, with potential discounts for certain criteria. Stricter settlement rules could discourage higher earners from remaining, and could make groups with lower stay rates more susceptible to deterrence or to leaving if settlement becomes harder.
"Our analysis suggests migrants earning the lowest wages are the most likely to remain in the UK long term, while there is some evidence that those with the highest salaries (125,000+) are the most likely income group to leave. These [higher-paid] migrants may benefit from more global opportunities and lower financial barriers to moving elsewhere, reducing the incentives to remain in the UK longer-term."
"Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, proposes raising the baseline qualifying period for settled status in the UK from five years to 10. The proposals say those who meet certain criteria, including higher-rate taxpayers, could qualify for discounts that would reduce the wait for indefinite leave to remain back down to five years."
"Evidence on the role of settlement policy in shaping the countries' attractiveness to prospective migrants is limited, however we may speculate that groups with lower stay rates under the current policy such as higher earners and people working in higher education could be more susceptible to being deterred by a less generous settlement offer (or may be more likely to leave if they are already in the UK and are moved to a longer path to settlement)."
Read at www.theguardian.com
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