CNN's Harry Enten Makes the Case Democrats Can Absolutely' Win Texas Senate Seat

Polling indicates James Talarico can win Texas’s U.S. Senate seat. Comparisons to 2018 show that Beto O’Rourke versus Ted Cruz had numbers that did not support a Democratic win at the same point in the campaign. Current polling averages for Ken Paxton versus James Talarico show Talarico ahead by about four points. The polling position is described as the strongest for a Texas Democrat in at least 24 years, with the previous closest benchmark traced back to 2002. The argument emphasizes that the current numbers support Democratic competitiveness and potential victory in Texas.

"They are looking at numbers, and the idea that Democrats can't win in Texas, I want to put that to rest. They could very well do it. James Talarico could very well win in Texas, Enten began adding: And I want to use a comparison point with 2018 because there was all this talk about Beto O'Rourke, right? Oh, could he beat Ted Cruz? He could beat Ted. The numbers at this point in that campaign simply put did not support that conclusion. But the numbers at that point absolutely support the conclusion that James Talarico can win."

"So take a look. Texas Senate polls in May of the election year. When you matched up O'Rourke, Beto O'Rourke versus Ted Cruz, Ted Cruz was up by 7 points. He was clearly ahead. But look at the polling average now when you match up Ken Paxton versus James Talarico. It's actually Talarico that's ahead by 4 points. And Johnny B, I was looking back at every single Texas Senate race that I could find, and at this point in the campaign, James Talarico is polling better than any Democrat in at least 24 years. You have to go all the way back to 2002 to find a Democrat even polling anywhere close to where Talarico is polling right now."

"Texas Democrats have dreamt about turning it blue. This time, the numbers actually support the idea that they may actually be able to do it. Berman followed up, Be able to do it. I have to say this is a difference that I have not seen before, and I was not aware of, and a lot of people are making the comparison to 2018. One of the reasons is that Ken Paxton, if he's a nomineenot a super popular nomineeand people like, Oh, well Ted Cruz as an incumbent Senator, he wasn't that popular either.'"

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