2026 Senate races to watch: From most likely to flip to Democratic long shots
Briefly

2026 Senate races to watch: From most likely to flip to Democratic long shots
"The national political environment is a difficult one for Republicans. President Trump is facing record-low approval ratings, his war in Iran is unpopular, and views of the economy continue to be negative."
"Democrats need to pick up a net of four seats to take control. Republicans contend they will hold the Senate, but narrowly. They expect Democrats to pick up anywhere from one to three seats."
"North Carolina is currently the most likely seat to change hands. Republican Sen. Thom Tillis is retiring. Looking to replace him are Michael Whatley and former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper."
"Both sides see Cooper as a recruiting win for Democrats. He's well known, has won statewide and is off to a good fundraising start."
The political environment is challenging for Republicans, with President Trump's low approval ratings and an unpopular war in Iran. Democrats are favored to gain seats in the House, while the Senate remains competitive. Democrats need to secure a net of four seats to gain control, with North Carolina being the most likely to flip. Republican Sen. Thom Tillis is retiring, and former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper is seen as a strong candidate. Other competitive races include Maine, Michigan, and Ohio.
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