"It seems like they're not willing to pay certain costs to achieve regime change, so there's sort of a set of secondary goals that perhaps will be enough if they can't achieve that through air power alone. (Kelly Grieco, senior fellow at the Stimson Center)"
"You can damage buildings; you can damage the regime, but we don't have examples of when air power alone has achieved regime change. (Matthew Duss, executive vice president at the Center for International Policy)"
"A NATO-led air campaign in Libya in 2011 managed to dislodge Muammar Gaddafi from power, but Libyan rebels led the offensive on the ground that removed the regime."
Following US-Israeli bombing campaigns against Iran, President Trump suggested the Iranian people should seize the opportunity to overthrow their government. However, analysts from major think tanks argue that air power alone cannot collapse the Iranian ruling system. Kelly Grieco from the Stimson Center and Matthew Duss from the Center for International Policy both emphasize that regime change requires ground forces. Historical precedent, such as the 2011 Libya intervention, demonstrates that air campaigns succeed only when combined with ground offensives led by local forces. Currently, no meaningful ground force exists capable of challenging Iran's Islamic Republic system, and deploying American troops would significantly increase risks to US military personnel.
Read at www.aljazeera.com
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