"There is no time pressure: The regime is already a goner. The problem is the absence of a coalition that can take over the government. Without a replacement government, the result of an attack could be civil war. There are bad options and worse options right now, and an attack, when you don't have a viable opposition, is definitely worse."
"Iran's currency is sliding toward zero; its Axis of Resistance, the military strategy that appeared invincible just two years ago, has been wrecked by an Israeli-led campaign of assassinations, bombings, and exploding beepers; its people want to kill the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and are worried that biology will get to him first."
Washington policymakers debate whether to militarily strike Iran or allow its internal deterioration. Iran's currency collapses, its military alliance has been dismantled by Israeli operations, and citizens oppose the aging supreme leader. Israeli intelligence analysts argue the regime is already failing without external intervention. However, military action risks civil war because no credible opposition coalition exists to govern afterward. An Iranian exile proposes a middle path between bombing and waiting, suggesting alternative approaches to regime change that avoid both military escalation and indefinite patience.
#iran-regime-collapse #military-intervention-debate #middle-east-geopolitics #opposition-governance #regional-stability
Read at The Atlantic
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