Fear over potential US strike on Iran puts Lebanon on edge
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Fear over potential US strike on Iran puts Lebanon on edge
"When the time comes for any stance, we will not hesitate. Iran would expect Hezbollah to contribute if a US-Iran war scenario materializes, most plausibly by pressuring Israel. However, Hezbollah is also navigating an increasingly complicated domestic environment with integrationist pressure by Lebanon's President Joseph Aoun and the organization's stake in Lebanon's political future as a national actor, which raise the costs of a major, open-ended war."
"Israel, the main US-ally in the region, has warned Beirut that it would strike the country hard and target civilian infrastructure if Hezbollah were to wade into a potential US-Iran war. This was confirmed by two Lebanese officials this week, creating a direct deterrent against Hezbollah's potential involvement in regional escalation."
Lebanon's stability is threatened by rising US-Iran tensions. Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has urged Hezbollah not to involve Lebanon in foreign conflicts, but Hezbollah's secretary-general Naim Qassem stated any US attack on Iran would trigger Hezbollah's response. Israel has warned Lebanon it will strike hard and target civilian infrastructure if Hezbollah enters a potential US-Iran war. Hezbollah faces competing pressures: Iran expects military support, while Lebanon's President Joseph Aoun pushes for integration and political stability. Hezbollah must balance its commitment to Iran against its role as a national political actor in Lebanon, complicating its decision-making in a potential conflict.
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