Vegas set the Over/Under at a staggering 57.5 points, officially the highest total in Super Bowl history. Why was the line so high? It was a collision of two offensive juggernauts. The Falcons arrived with the league's top-scoring offense, led by MVP Matt Ryan, while Tom Brady's Patriots ranked third in points scored. Throw in a fast track at the NRG Stadium dome in Houston, and bettors were practically tripping over themselves to hammer the Over.
The Sharks have gone 2-2 when favored on the moneyline this season. San Jose has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -116 or shorter. The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Sharks a 53.7% chance to win. San Jose and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 27 of 53 games this season.
Value is value, no matter where -- or how -- you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space -- find value. Ben Solak and Seth Walder bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges. Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets.