#prediction-markets

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Cryptocurrency
fromFortune Crypto
6 hours ago

Kalshi is the early leader in prediction markets, but its rival Polymarket is worth nearly twice as much. Why? | Fortune Crypto

Polymarket's blockchain focus and potential token distribution drove a $9 billion valuation despite Kalshi's larger U.S. user base and regulatory lead.
Business
fromFortune
2 days ago

Why the New York Stock Exchange just crowned a Gen Z billionaire: Shayne Coplan figured out a society that gambles on everything | Fortune

Shayne Coplan became the youngest self-made billionaire after Polymarket's valuation rose to $9 billion following a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange.
Venture
fromTechCrunch
2 days ago

Kalshi hits $5B valuation days after rival Polymarket gets $2B NYSE backing at $8 Billion | TechCrunch

Kalshi raised over $300 million at a $5 billion valuation amid surging activity and expansion to 140 countries, targeting $50 billion annualized trading volume.
#kalshi
fromfortune.com
2 weeks ago
US politics

Investors are betting big on prediction markets' Kalshi and Polymarketwill the gamble pay off?

fromfortune.com
2 weeks ago
US politics

Investors are betting big on prediction markets' Kalshi and Polymarketwill the gamble pay off?

#polymarket
fromFortune Crypto
5 days ago
Fundraising

New York Stock Exchange parent company invests $2 billion in Polymarket at $9 billion valuation | Fortune Crypto

fromFortune Crypto
5 days ago
Fundraising

New York Stock Exchange parent company invests $2 billion in Polymarket at $9 billion valuation | Fortune Crypto

fromThe American Conservative
5 days ago

Can Jay Jones Still Win in Virginia?

Republicans are in disbelief. Jerrauld "Jay" Jones, the Democratic candidate for Virginia attorney general in this year's elections, has yet to drop out of the race despite nauseous texts that reveal he once fantasized about gunning down then-Speaker of the Virginia House Todd Gilbert, a Republican. But, laying aside decency and decorum, why exactly should Jones drop out of the race?
Right-wing politics
Venture
fromFast Company
5 days ago

The New York Stock Exchange owner wants in on election betting-what that means for the industry

Intercontinental Exchange will invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, linking NYSE-associated capital with crypto-based prediction markets and event-driven data distribution.
fromwww.mercurynews.com
1 week ago

Robinhood explores launching prediction markets outside the US

Robinhood Markets Inc. is exploring an expansion of its prediction markets product to countries outside of the US, a move that would broaden the reach of the already fast-growing and often controversial industry. The brokerage has been speaking to overseas regulators like the UK's Financial Conduct Authority about how it might offer prediction markets locally, as demand for the space continues to grow.
East Bay (California)
fromAbove the Law
2 weeks ago

Morning Docket: 09.25.25 - Above the Law

* Judge considering sanctioning DOJ lawyers over repeated statements compromising fairness of Mangione trial. [ NY Times] * Roberta Kaplan representing Disney shareholders seeking discovery to determine if Kimmel suspension demonstrates a breach of fiduciary duties. [ Semafor] * Group challenging SEC gag rule, which prevents parties who voluntarily settle enforcement cases from turning around and telling the market they did nothing wrong, seeks en banc review from the Ninth Circuit. But, you know, you don't have to settle. [ Law.com]
Law
#south-park
fromBusiness Insider
1 month ago

A new way to spot tremors in prediction markets

Tremor tracks volatility on Polymarket , a prediction market that lets traders bet on the outcome of future events. The goal of Saravanan's new tool: Spot sudden swings and identify potentially valuable situations where insiders may know more than the general population. "If the chance of a ceasefire in a war jumps from 50% to 80%, but there's no news, it's likely someone with inside info is acting on Polymarket," Saravanan told me.
Startup companies
Film
fromThe New Yorker
1 month ago

Why We're All In on Gambling

Online betting platforms like Polymarket and DraftKings normalize gambling, reshaping daily life, sports, and cultural portrayals while testing individual desire for risk.
#sports-betting
Law
fromSlate Magazine
1 month ago

The Legalized Gambling Industry Is Collapsing in on Itself

Prediction-market platforms like Kalshi exploit regulatory gaps to expand into sports betting, challenging state oversight and established sportsbook businesses.
US politics
fromFortune
1 month ago

Are sports prediction markets betting or investing? Two new Robinhood lawsuits could define how they are regulated going forward

Prediction markets are blurring investing and gambling by offering political and sports event contracts while legally challenging regulators to expand their markets.
Business
fromESPN.com
1 month ago

NCAA 'concerned' by football prediction markets

Online prediction markets are trading college football outcomes, prompting NCAA concern over integrity, student-athlete safety, and the need for federal or state guardrails.
New York City
fromFox Business
1 month ago

Betting markets show Mamdani maintains a big lead in NYC mayoral race,

Zohran Mamdani leads the New York City mayoral race with roughly an 80–84% probability across major prediction markets.
US politics
fromwww.mediaite.com
1 month ago

CNN Data Shows Gavin Newsom's Strategy Against Trump Is Absolutely' Paying Off

Gavin Newsom's confrontational social-media strategy against President Trump substantially increased attention, boosting followers, Google searches, and his 2028 nomination odds in prediction markets.
fromTechCrunch
3 months ago

Kalshi closes $185M round as rival Polymarket reportedly seeks $200M | TechCrunch

"Prediction markets remind me of crypto 15 years ago: a new asset class on a path to trillions," Matt Huang, co-founder and managing partner at Paradigm, told TechCrunch in an emailed statement. "There's no better team than Kalshi to scale prediction markets and reshape how people think about everything from elections and economic markets to weather and sports."
Cryptocurrency
Marketing tech
fromTechCrunch
4 months ago

X names Polymarket as its official prediction market partner | TechCrunch

X partners with Polymarket to enhance real-time insights using prediction markets and cryptocurrency betting.
NYC startup
fromTESLARATI
4 months ago

X clarifies xAI prediction market rumors, hints at future plans

Musk's xAI has not finalized partnerships in prediction markets but hints at future exploration, indicating AI's potential impact on predictive analytics.
Startup companies
fromThe Verge
5 months ago

Are prediction markets gambling? Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev is betting the answer is no

Robinhood is expanding into banking and wealth management, embracing prediction markets as a future of finance.
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