#prediction-markets

#prediction-markets

In the United States, you generally cannot place a real-money bet on an election using the standard DraftKings or FanDuel Sportsbook apps due to strict regulations.

Horekunden expressed frustration with the Institute for the Study of War, describing their frontline maps as incoherent and unhelpful for settling bets on Polymarket.

Bets tend to appear in the 'For you' section of Google News, which is supposed to be tailored to a person's particular interests. Futurism notes that the platform actually placed a Polymarket bet as the top news result when inquiring about the price of Bitcoin.

The bill describes a 'prediction market' as 'a system that allows consumers to place a wager on the future outcome of a specified event that is not determined or affected by the performance of the parties to the contract.'

"The current administration has signaled that it is very pro-business and wants to make it as easy as possible for these new fintech business models such as prediction markets and crypto to operate."

An email was sent to White House staff on 24 March, warning them against using insider information to place bets on prediction markets like Kalshi or Polymarket.

"Today, our Board took decisive action to protect what generations before us fought to build. These so-called prediction markets are an attempt to bypass tribal authority and recast gambling as a financial product. We will not allow that. We will stand united to defend tribal sovereignty and the integrity of Indian gaming."

House Bill 904, which has cleared the House and is under Senate review, would give the Kentucky Horse Racing and Gaming Corporation expanded control over various forms of wagering, including fantasy sports and prediction markets.

"Today, our Board took decisive action to protect what generations before us fought to build. These so-called prediction markets are an attempt to bypass tribal authority and recast gambling as a financial product. We will not allow that. We will stand united to defend tribal sovereignty and the integrity of Indian gaming."

It's possible one day we'll do something like that. We're not going to be in sports. We're not going to be in politics. There's a bunch of stuff we won't do.

Intercontinental Exchange has completed a $600 million direct cash investment in prediction market platform Polymarket as part of a broader equity fundraising round. This investment follows ICE's previously disclosed $1 billion commitment made in October 2025, fulfilling its obligations under the investment agreement.

We are continuing to execute our prediction markets treasury strategy, and we are pleased that Lind provided us with substantial capital, stated Shai Novik, Executive Chairman of Enlivex.

Kalshi will ban political candidates from trading on their own campaigns and block anyone involved in college or professional sports from trading contracts related to the sports they play or are employed by.

The legislation is about restoring balance between federal oversight and long-standing state and tribal control of gambling. It will reaffirm existing tribal and state government authority to regulate sports betting, limit online gambling, or in some cases - continue to prohibit all forms of gambling.

The best inflation forecaster on Kalshi over the last few years is not none of the institutions or the big-name hedge funds; it's this guy who lives in Kansas, never traded financial markets before, just likes to read the news, and just knows how to predict inflation.