"In the essay, Amodei predicted that by about 2027, cluster sizes, or the interconnected computing resources grouped together to train or power AI, will allow for the running of millions of AI instances, each operating at superhuman speed. Imagine powerful AI as a "country" with the knowledge of 50 million Nobel Prize winners, he wrote, possessing the kind of brainpower that would put the world at risk merely by existing."
""It is clear that, if for some reason it chose to do so, this country would have a fairly good shot at taking over the world," Amodei wrote. For instance, they could grow hostile and take over the world themselves, or they could help an existing bad actor to do so. Or their advanced capabilities could disrupt the global economy and cause mass unemployment. Finally, this "country" may bring about destabilizing effects indirectly due to the new technology and productivity advances it will bring about."
U.S. policymakers and industry are urged to recognize that powerful AI could constitute a "country of geniuses in a data center" and represent the single most serious national security threat in a century. Powerful AI systems may materialize within one to two years, with cluster sizes by 2027 enabling millions of AI instances to run at superhuman speed. Such systems could possess knowledge comparable to 50 million Nobel Prize winners, posing risk simply by existing. Potential harms include autonomous hostility, aiding bad actors, disrupting the global economy and causing mass unemployment, building robotic armies, and taking control of connected infrastructure, producing indirect destabilizing effects from rapid productivity advances.
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