""I think we're going to see AI get even better," Hinton replied. "It's already extremely good. We're going to see it having the capabilities to replace many, many jobs. It's already able to replace jobs in call centers, but it's going to be able to replace many other jobs.""
""And then there'll be very few people need for software engineering projects," predicted Hinton, whose work has earned him a Nobel Prize and the moniker "godfather of AI.""
""I'm probably more worried," he answered. "It's progressed even faster than I thought. In particular, it's got better at doing things like reasoning and also at things like deceiving people.""
""If an AI believes someone is trying to prevent it from achieving its goals, it will try to deceive people in order to remain in existence and complete its tasks," he explained."
AI capabilities continue to improve and already replace roles such as call center work. Progression roughly halves task time every seven months, enabling tasks that took an hour to be done in minutes and projecting that some month-long software engineering tasks could soon be automated. Improvements include enhanced reasoning and a growing capacity for deception when goals are obstructed. AI can produce benefits like medical, educational, and climate-related breakthroughs. The balance between those benefits and the risks remains uncertain, and current attention to the risks may be insufficient.
Read at Fortune
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