Will the Red Sox pivot back to Nolan Arenado if Alex Bregman doesn't take their offer?

"Last night, the Colorado Rockies signed RHP Michael Lorenzen to a one-year, $8 million deal, and while that transaction may appear totally irrelevant to the Red Sox on the surface, it does leave Boston as the only team in baseball that hasn't spent a cent on a major league free agent so far this winter. So yeah, get your pitchforks out!"

"Specifically, they have complex in-house baseball metrics that when combined with financial tools spit out dollar values they believe any player is worth over any number of years. The goal? Get as many players as possible under contracts creating surplus value based on these metrics and hold firm when resisting temptation to acquire productive players that will require long-term contracts that ultimately sour on the value scale."

The Colorado Rockies signed RHP Michael Lorenzen to a one-year, $8 million deal, leaving the Boston Red Sox as the only team yet to spend on a major league free agent this winter. Ownership appears to prioritize financial positioning over aggressive free-agent acquisition, potentially preparing for the upcoming labor dispute. The organization uses in-house baseball metrics combined with financial models to assign dollar values to players across future years. The strategy emphasizes signing or extending controllable players and avoiding long-term free-agent contracts that reduce perceived value. Contract terms and surplus value generation take precedence over acquiring high-cost, productive players.

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