
"Financial stocks are extremely oversold, with the XLF, the financial sector ETF, down 5.70% year-to date. This follows a period of aggressive selling that was driven by interest-rate volatility, recession fears, and lingering concerns about credit quality. Many banks, insurers, and asset managers are now trading at valuations well below historical averages on metrics such as price-to-book and forward earnings, even though balance sheets and capital ratios remain relatively strong relative to past downturns."
"Since 1926, dividends have accounted for approximately 32% of the S&P 500's total return, while capital appreciation has accounted for 68%. Therefore, sustainable dividend income and the potential for capital appreciation are essential to total return expectations. A study by Hartford Funds, in collaboration with Ned Davis Research, found that dividend stocks delivered an annualized return of 9.18% over the 50 years from 1973 to 2023. Over the same timeline, this was more than double the annualized return for non-payers (3.95%)."
Financial stocks have been sharply sold off, with the XLF ETF down 5.70% year-to-date after selling driven by interest-rate volatility, recession fears, and credit-quality concerns. Many banks, insurers, and asset managers trade at valuations well below historical averages on metrics like price-to-book and forward earnings, while balance sheets and capital ratios remain relatively strong versus past downturns. The sector may be pricing in a worst-case scenario that has not materialized, creating potential opportunities if economic conditions stabilize. Historically, negative sentiment combined with solid fundamentals has preceded sharp rebounds in financials. High-dividend names, including regional banks and a large business development company, are rated Buy by major Wall Street firms. Dividends have contributed meaningfully to long-term equity returns and dividend payers have outperformed non-payers over extended periods.
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
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