
"Intel is up 214.17% year to date and 438.71% over the past year, closing at $115.93 on May 14. That move is pricing in a foundry transformation the income statement has yet to deliver. Q1 results carried a GAAP net loss of $3.73 billion, an operating loss of $3.14 billion, and free cash flow of negative $3.87 billion. Intel Foundry has now bled billions of operating losses for multiple consecutive quarters, and management guided Q2 non-GAAP gross margin down to roughly 39.0% from 41.0%. Margins go the wrong way next quarter while the chart goes vertical."
"Insiders are taking chips off the table. The Chief Legal Officer sold 40,256 shares at $99.526 on May 1, and the EVP running Foundry operations sold 13,649 shares at $93.60 the day prior. On r/stocks, the highest-engagement thread of the cycle was titled "Intel trading at a ~119x forward P/E and nobody is talking about this". Retail sentiment scores have rolled over into the 28 to 35 bearish range over the past week. Add the U.S. government's CHIPS Act equity stake and uncertainty around the Intel 14A node, and you have a politically dependent foundry priced like a clean growth story."
"Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing ( NYSE:TSM) deserves the attention Intel is hogging. Three reasons. 1. Margins and scale Intel cannot touch. TSMC reported Q1 revenue of $35.9 billion, with gross margin of 66.2% and operating margin of 58.1%, both above guidance. Q2 revenue guidance of $39.0 billion to $40.2 billion and gross margin guidance of 65.5% to 67.5% imply margins are still expanding. Full-year 2026 revenue i"
Intel shares have surged sharply on a turnaround narrative tied to AI inference workloads, a Google partnership, and selection as the host CPU for NVIDIA’s DGX Rubin systems. The rally assumes a foundry transformation that has not yet appeared in financial results. Recent quarters show GAAP net and operating losses and negative free cash flow, while guidance points to declining non-GAAP gross margins. Insider selling adds to concerns, and uncertainty around Intel’s process roadmap and the political dependence of foundry support increases risk. Taiwan Semiconductor stands out with much higher revenue scale and margins, reporting strong gross and operating margins and guidance that implies continued margin expansion.
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
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