Recent observations from the European Space Agency have significantly lowered the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth to just 0.16%. This follows an earlier assessment by NASA that estimated a 0.28% chance. Initial projections suggested a 3.1% impact probability, marking the highest estimate for its size. Continued tracking will be conducted until April, with the James Webb Space Telescope set to gather more detailed information on the asteroid's composition and size. Although the risk of hitting Earth is minimal, the chances of impacting the moon increased to 1%.
"As observations of 2024 YR4 evolve, new data suggests its chances of impacting Earth have dropped significantly to 0.16%."
"While the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth are low, they have increased the likelihood of a impact on the moon to one percent."
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