Law school admissions expert sees 'dangerous one-two punch' as Gen Z seeks shelter from the AI hiring storm in 6-figure debt and JD lifeboat | Fortune
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Law school admissions expert sees 'dangerous one-two punch' as Gen Z seeks shelter from the AI hiring storm in 6-figure debt and JD lifeboat | Fortune
"Of course, Campos was writing as millions of millennials revived their career prospects amid the Great Recession, but applications surged again among the oldest Gen Zers in 2020. The New York Times noted that job prospects for lawyers are better than critics like Campos might charge, with over 80% of graduates in 2023 and 2024 working in jobs that require their legal credentials within a year, according to the ABA."
"The quasi-official white-collar recession indicator of crammed study halls fall of aspiring litigators had a reckoning of sorts in 2011, as documented in the blog " Inside the Law School Scam," at first published anonymously and later revealed to be the work of Paul Campos, a law professor himself at the University of Colorado. (Campos later published a book, Don't Go to Law School (Unless).)"
"Yet law school admissions experts are warning that what goes up must come down. "We've been on a good run, so the pendulum swings back," Mike Spivey, CEO of Spivey Consulting Group, a law school admissions consultancy, told Fortune. "When you get an oversaturation of law school students, law firms can be pickier. They tend to then slow down the hiring or slow down the salary increases.""
ChatGPT passed the bar nearly three years ago, prompting fears about automation in law. Despite those fears, the legal profession has not collapsed and Gen Z applicants are increasingly enrolling in law school. Applications have risen more than 40% over two years, mirroring surges in 2008 and 2020. A 2011 reckoning around the blog Inside the Law School Scam and Paul Campos challenged law school value during the Great Recession. Employment outcomes improved, with over 80% of 2023–2024 graduates working in jobs requiring legal credentials within a year and NALP reporting over 93% employment in 2024. Admissions experts warn that oversupply can make firms pickier, slowing hiring and salary growth.
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