In this year's elections, only 27 of 435 congressional districts are considered toss-ups, highlighting a significant lack of competitive races in the House.
The lack of competitive congressional races stems from a growing asymmetry between presidential and congressional election dynamics over the past few decades.
Analysis reveals that while presidential elections often result in narrow victories, congressional elections have seen a decrease in close contests, impacting voter engagement.
Historically, about 40% of congressional districts had close results reflecting national trends; today, this number has dwindled significantly, affecting the overall competitiveness.
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