Medium-altitude drones like the MQ-9 Reaper are facing increased challenges and losses in conflicts, raising concerns about their relevance and cost-effectiveness. Despite their strategic advantages, the mounting costs and vulnerabilities against modern air defenses are prompting military leaders to consider cheaper alternatives. Countries like the UK may reconsider investments in expensive drones that, despite their capabilities, can easily be lost in combat. Historical instances, like those from Ukraine and Yemen, underscore this dilemma, highlighting a shift towards potentially attritable drone technologies.
The threat to the Reapers would likely be much greater against a more advanced military, which fields larger and more accurate air defenses.
Instead of spending on expensive MALE drones, militaries may benefit from investing in cheaper, smaller drones that can be easily replaced.
Assessments in Ukraine would suggest that the point at which a UAV becomes attritable is a unit price below $5 million.
Lord Vernon Croaker pointed out in 2024 that older systems like Watchkeeper are being phased out as they are deemed outdated by military leadership.
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