The recent D.C. court decision allows election betting in the U.S., contingent on regulators proving these markets pose a risk to electoral integrity.
While polls show a dead heat in the election, betting markets are predicting a 60% chance of victory for Trump, indicating potential market manipulation.
Concerns about election betting manipulation remain largely theoretical, yet the courts acknowledged some risk, suggesting that proof of distortion could result in irrevocable damage to the electoral process.
The diverging odds in betting markets, especially on platforms like Polymarket, raise questions about whether current odds reflect genuine voter sentiment or are influenced by manipulation.
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