"Right now, forecast models are split. Some keep the storm far enough out to sea to spare New York City from snowfall but others show snow reaching coastal New Jersey and Long Island late Saturday into Sunday. A shift of just 50 to 100 miles in either direction could change everything, from rain versus snow to whether the city sees accumulation at all."
"If the storm hugs the coast, we should expect a messy mix of rain near the shoreline, snow inland and plenty of wind. If it tracks just offshore (but not far), forecasters say an all-snow scenario is still on the table, even at the coast. A much farther offshore path would lock in cold air but keep most of the moisture out to sea."
"The system is expected to develop rapidly off the Southeast coast, but its eventual track will determine whether we see more snow, just some wind and surf drama or a whole lot of nothing. What meteorologists confident about: a strong storm is likely to form Saturday somewhere off the Carolinas, powered by an upper-level disturbance diving south from Canada. Arctic air is already locked in place across the East Coast and this system is expected to reinforce it,"
Arctic air remains entrenched across the East Coast, producing a prolonged spell of subfreezing days. A rapidly developing coastal storm is likely to form Saturday somewhere off the Carolinas, driven by an upper-level disturbance from Canada. Forecast models differ on the storm's track, leaving outcomes uncertain for New York City. A coastal-hugging track could draw frigid air inland and produce snow across parts of the tri-state area, while a farther offshore path would keep moisture at sea and spare the city. Regardless of precipitation, the storm is expected to produce rough coastal conditions and strong winds.
Read at Time Out New York
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