The 2024 YR asteroid is currently assessed to have a one-in-43 chance of impacting Earth, and scientists believe this risk will decrease as more data is gathered. At 300 feet in diameter, the asteroid is similar in size to the one that caused the Tunguska Event in 1908. It is classified as a level 3 hazard on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, which suggests a significant but manageable risk. Research will continue to track the asteroid's trajectory, and if the risk increases, there will be ample time to respond.
A nearly 98 percent chance it won't hit us is pretty good.
Current calculations give a 1% or greater chance of collision capable of localized destruction.
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