In late December 2024, astronomers identified a new asteroid named 2024 YR4, initially detected by a Chilean telescope. It is expected to approach Earth closely in 2028 and again in 2032, with a fluctuating impact probability. Currently, there's a 1.9% chance of collision noted by NASA. Although this figure is lower than previous estimates, it indicates that such probabilities often increase before dropping to zero over time as more data is gathered. This highlights the importance of ongoing monitoring and analysis of near-Earth objects.
A telescope in Chile detected a new asteroid, 2024 YR4, which poses a small chance of impacting Earth in December 2032.
NASA estimates the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032 at 1.9%, roughly double the risk of dying in a car accident.
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