Sudan's civil war is escalating with new alliances potentially drawing South Sudan into conflict. Analysts highlight a February 2023 alliance between the Sudan People's Liberation Movement-North (SPLM-N) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), aiming to establish a rival government. The RSF's ongoing war with Sudan's army prompts it to back South Sudanese militias. This precarious situation could lead to all-out conflict in South Sudan, further complicating the Sudan-South Sudan dynamics. The SPLM-N's shift to ally with the RSF indicates a significant strategic response to counter the military threat from Sudan's army, amidst ongoing humanitarian crises in both nations.
"Sudan's army is responding by backing South Sudanese militias to fight the SPLM-N and the RSF along their shared 2,000km border."
"If things fall apart in South Sudan, then that would make it very difficult to separate the war in Sudan from the war in South Sudan."
"Al-Hilu likely chose the alliance because he couldn't afford to stay neutral any longer... he can't fight both the army and the RSF at the same time."
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