Matt Chapman, after a remarkable 2024 season, has stumbled in 2025 with a subpar batting average of .217. While his statistics raise concern, particularly his struggle against four-seam fastballs where his Run Value ranks poorly, there remains hope for rebounding as the season progresses. His current .750 OPS is below his usual performance, yet the potential for growth exists as the Giants enter a competitive phase in the season. Analyzing his career data may indicate this performance dip is not indicative of a decline in ability.
I think we're dealing with a slow-is-better situation here with Chapman. His run value against four-seam fastballs is currently at -4, among the worst in MLB.
Chapman's .217 average is concerning but also gives him room to grow, especially with the weather warming and the Wild Card race intensifying.
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