"Arsenal will spend Christmas Day on top of the Premier League tree this year, while Wolves, Burnley and West Ham are hanging precariously on the bottom branches. As we approach the halfway point of the season, what do the ghosts of Christmas past tell us about the title race and relegation battle? The team that is top of the Premier League on Christmas Day has gone on to win the title in 17 of the previous 33 seasons basically a flip of a chocolate coin."
"There isn't a lot of room for error, though, as Arsenal have a slender lead of just two points, while the average lead by the team top on Christmas Day is four points. In fact, the only table-toppers at Christmas to have a smaller lead than Arsenal in the last 12 seasons were the Gunners themselves two years ago. But while a two-point lead isn't much, history suggests it might be enough."
Arsenal sit top of the Premier League at Christmas with a slender two-point lead, while Wolves, Burnley and West Ham occupy precarious positions near the bottom. Historically, the team leading at Christmas has gone on to win the title 17 times in the previous 33 seasons, and teams with a two-point Christmas advantage have often prevailed. Arsenal have been top at Christmas four times before without winning the title, and this is the third time in four seasons that they lead at this stage. The average Christmas lead is four points, leaving limited room for error late in the season.
Read at www.bbc.com
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