The Toronto Blue Jays signed Max Scherzer to a one-year contract before 2025. Scherzer started March 29, lasted three innings, and did not pitch again until June 25. Since returning, the 41-year-old has lowered his ERA and stabilized the Toronto rotation. In 12 starts he is 5-2 with a 3.82 ERA and 61 strikeouts, with half his starts qualifying as quality. In August he has four wins in five starts, has routinely gone at least six innings, and posted a 2.61 August ERA after cutting his season ERA by 1.07. Extensive postseason experience and two World Series titles bolster his Game One candidacy, and MLB.com reporter Keegan Matheson estimated a 30 percent chance of a 2026 return.
The Blue Jays have gotten a solid performance from Scherzer this season. In 12 starts, Scherzer has a 5-2 record with a 3.82 earned run average and 61 strikeouts. Half of Scherzer's starts in 2025 have been quality starts, but he has really shined in the month of August. In five starts Scherzer has won four of them, pitching into at least the sixth in all of them and hasn't allowed more than six hits in any of those outings.
On Tuesday, MLB.com Blue Jays reporter Keegan Matheson made an appearance on TSN with Bryan Hayes and Frank Corrado where the question of Scherzer's future came up. Matheson was asked if there was a possibility that Scherzer would return to the Blue Jays in 2026. In response, Matheson said he predicts there is a "30 percent" chance for Scherzer to stay in Toronto.
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