Toronto-St. Paul's, a diverse area of condos and restaurants, has been shaped by social issues such as increased food bank use since COVID-19. The region is politically significant, highlighting the competition between the NDP and Liberals amid a changing voter sentiment. With previous Liberal dominance broken in 2018 by NDP incumbent Jill Andrew, upcoming elections raise questions about incumbency effects and voter choices, particularly in relation to discontent with the Ford government. Experts suggest incumbents may retain support despite shifting political landscapes.
"The question is whether this is going to be a race in which people are voting in this riding... at least, against the Ford government..."
"Maybe, in some cases, people said, 'Well, we're not happy with the Liberal government, but we don't want to vote for the Conservatives, so we'll park our votes with the NDP for now.'"
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