Following a discovery by the Atlas sky survey team, asteroid 2024 YR4 was identified with a rising probability of impact with Earth in December 2032. Initially estimated at 1%, the collision probability has increased up to 3.1%. Despite the growing risk, experts highlight the asteroid's relatively small size (40-90 meters) and the significant portion of Earth's surface that is water, potentially allowing for a non-catastrophic ocean impact. The ongoing analysis of its trajectory will provide further insights and preparations for the rare possibility of an impact.
The possible impact of asteroid 2024 YR4 would occur in December 2032, giving us ample time to prepare and react to its trajectory.
The estimated size of 2024 YR4 is between 40 and 90 metres, which classifies it as a smaller asteroid, presenting a lower risk to human life.
80% of Earth's surface is water, which mitigates risk; many experts suggest that an ocean impact would likely avoid significant human casualties.
The current impact probability for 2024 YR4 has fluctuated from 1% to 3.1%, illustrating ongoing efforts to gather data and refine predictions.
Collection
[
|
...
]